NFL: What to Know before placing a Bet on Super Bowl 58

darren cooper
By:
Darren Cooper
06/02/2024/
NFL
NFL Sports News

Highlights

  • Over 50 million Americans were estimated to have bet $1.6 billion on Super Bowl 57 last year. It is the most bet single-day event in the country.
  • Super Bowl 58 is scheduled for Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. Kickoff is at 6:30 p.m.
  • The Forty-Niners are anywhere from 2.5-point to 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 47.5.

It’s almost here. The biggest football game in America and the biggest single day event at American Sportsbooks.

We’re still not over the Lions loss in the NFC Championship Game and I’m not sure any team is worth rooting for as a Detroit fan, but betting on the Super Bowl has become another American tradition.

No game has markets like the Super Bowl does. In addition to the regular point spreads, moneyline and game totals, there are special prop bets. You can bet the coin flip at FanDuel and Caesars, DraftKings has a full “For the Swifties” betting menu with each bet named for a famous Taylor Swift song.

But before you make a bet at a legal Michigan Sportsbook, here are some things you should know about the big game, the two teams in it and the history behind it.

Meet The Teams 

San Francisco is the favorite. They’re 9-9-1 against the spread this season and 10-8-1 over/under. Kansas City is the underdog. They are 12-8 against the spread (they’ve played one more game because San Francisco got a first-round playoff bye) and 6-14 over/under this season.

Looking at the total of 47.5. Seven Niners games this season went over 47.5 points, and only four Chief games.

Super Bowl Scores 

The average final score in a Super Bowl is 30-16. And this is no fluke. In the last 10 years, the winning team has scored 29.6 points and the losing team has averaged 18 points.

So the total margin of victory over the years is just under 14 points.

Little Spreads, Big Results? 

The point spread at Super Bowl 58 is under three points. The spread for the Super Bowl has been 3 points or less 19 times, and the favorite in those games is 9-9 straight up.

This is interesting because all time in the Super Bowl, favorites are 37-20. Favorites are also 28-27-2 against the spread.

So small spread usually means a toss-up.

MVP Is a QB, right? 

Placing a bet on the Super Bowl MVP is a popular prop bet. The QBs for Super Bowl 58 are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Brock Purdy for the Niners.

Quarterbacks have been named MVP six of the last nine years. Mahomes has a chance to be MVP for the third time, which would tie him with Joe Montana for second most all time. Tom Brady won five MVP trophies.

We’re Back! Is That Ok? 

This is the 15th time in NFL history that the team that won the Super Bowl the previous year is back again. The Chiefs are trying to repeat as champs. Teams making a return to the Super Bowl are 8-6 all-time, but defending champs have lost three in a row.

More Super Bowl Betting Trivia 

Underdogs have won eight of the last 12 Super Bowls.

Teams wearing white (this year that’s San Fran) have won 16 of the last 19 Super Bowls, but one of the teams to win wearing their color was Kansas City in Super Bowl 54.

Last year’s Gatorade color was purple. Yes, you can bet the color of the Gatorade shower.

Tails leads Heads 30-27 in the Super Bowl coin toss count.

Born and raised in Louisiana, Darren Cooper has a fond appreciation for bayous, Mardi Gras beads and the sports betting industry. Darren has worked for multiple print and online publications since 1998, primarily as a sports columnist in the Northeast. He’s covered a Super Bowl (it was a blowout), the World Series (same) and the NBA Draft (man, those guys are tall). For the last few years he’s dug deep into the sports gambling industry as it exploded across America, learning how the legal sausage is made and how while all the sportsbooks look the same, they all have different identities and styles. He’s learned to always bet within his means -- and take the under. When not in front of his computer creating, Darren spends time with his three boys. He runs, reads and is always looking for the next big thing to write about.