NBA Picks & Parlay of the Weekend | November 11

NBA Parlay of the Weekend
NBA Picks and Parlay of the Weekend

We’ve reached the 10-game mark in the NBA season and we’re looking at some teams off to hot starts at top Michigan sportsbooks. We’ve got a great DraftKings Sportsbook parlay ready for you for Saturday night with Steph Curry and the Warriors at home to face the Cavs, and an over/under number to look at for Bucks/Magic.

Cleveland at Golden State

After a four-game road trip, Golden State returns to the friendly confines of the Chase Center to meet the 3-5 Cavaliers. Earlier this week, the Cavs dominated the Warriors 115-104.

Golden State has lost two of its last three, including a heartbreaker in Denver when they failed to get off a potential game-winning shot in the final seconds. You know the Warriors though, Steph Curry is off to another great start, he’s averaging 30 points a night. Klay Thompson is right at 16 a game.

The Warriors are only 5-4 against the spread this season, but last year they were 33-8 at home. They beat Cleveland by five and six points last year in two meetings. 

With a day of rest and a chance to play in front of the home crowd, look for the Warriors to easily cover the 4.5-point spread and roll.

Donovan Mitchell over/under 27.5 points

Mitchell came over to Cleveland after five good years in Utah and immediately became their No. 1 option on offense. So far this season he’s scoring a little over 30 points a game, but that number has dropped a tick in the last five games.

Here we have a great data point to look at, as Mitchell scored 31 in the win over Golden State at home earlier this week, but I expect the Warriors to focus a lot of their defensive attention on Mitchell and try to make someone else beat them.

Mitchell only had 20 points in his last game, and he’s not afraid to share the ball (in other words, he’s not a ball hog). 27.5 points just seems high to me for a player on the road against a defense geared up to stop him.

Take the under 27.5 on Mitchell in what could be a long night for the Cavs.

Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic

Sometimes I like doing over/under picks more than actually picking a game, because it can be so much fun.

The first thing to recognize is 232 points is a huge number of points. My philosophy on that is divide it by two and then think can both of these teams score 116. Right away my instinct is no. That’s just a lot of points….and I am always inclined to take the under.

But then you look through some of the numbers here. Neither one of these two teams plays much defense. The Bucks are 5-3 and have allowed 124, 125 and 118 points in their last three games – winning two. The Bucks want to play some run and gun because they know they have two elite scorers in Giannis and Damian Lillard.

Playing fast is what the Magic want to do too. And Orlando’s defense isn’t great either. They have allowed 120, 117 and 101 points in their last three.

Last year two of the three meetings between these two went over 250 points, much less 232. The Bucks have hit the over in three straight games. 

It’s a tough call, but everything says over in Orlando.

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Parlay summary

Born and raised in Louisiana, Darren Cooper has a fond appreciation for bayous, Mardi Gras beads and the sports betting industry. Darren has worked for multiple print and online publications since 1998, primarily as a sports columnist in the Northeast. He’s covered a Super Bowl (it was a blowout), the World Series (same) and the NBA Draft (man, those guys are tall). For the last few years he’s dug deep into the sports gambling industry as it exploded across America, learning how the legal sausage is made and how while all the sportsbooks look the same, they all have different identities and styles. He’s learned to always bet within his means -- and take the under. When not in front of his computer creating, Darren spends time with his three boys. He runs, reads and is always looking for the next big thing to write about.